Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.921858 1.038867 1.166512 1.316337 1.487684 1.677875 1.905460
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.724247 0.877947 1.059592 1.291086 1.579666 1.929361 2.387949
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.639529 0.813390 1.030050 1.321856 1.707590 2.204163 2.898493
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.560814 0.741123 0.975570 1.305769 1.763673 2.383317 3.297359
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.510261 0.697055 0.949074 1.318208 1.852238 2.607764 3.777235
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.460106 0.646788 0.906844 1.300995 1.892818 2.763719 4.171015
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.420991 0.607343 0.874592 1.292508 1.941852 2.932880 4.599912
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.375292 0.553629 0.815883 1.237267 1.911848 2.974901 4.827770
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.354828 0.535434 0.807896 1.258011 2.001082 3.211532 5.400919
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.337491 0.520240 0.802655 1.281661 2.095930 3.465184 6.031944
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.318932 0.501376 0.789661 1.290718 2.166061 3.682533 6.622843
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.301148 0.482194 0.774299 1.293821 2.225199 3.885151 7.209368
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.286475 0.467362 0.765495 1.308408 2.308011 4.142646 7.942556
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.265827 0.440958 0.735142 1.282318 2.314220 4.259105 8.412742
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.256679 0.433428 0.736433 1.312985 2.428822 4.593407 9.373620
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.240977 0.413218 0.713744 1.297002 2.451641 4.748860 9.974094
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.230898 0.402206 0.706548 1.309351 2.530876 5.025757 10.878207
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.217497 0.384202 0.685176 1.292265 2.548579 5.176010 11.514315
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.206358 0.369577 0.668968 1.283841 2.583044 5.365057 12.267057
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.190191 0.344496 0.631256 1.229007 2.514016 5.320151 12.446973
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.184490 0.338875 0.630459 1.249599 2.609529 5.653101 13.614058
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.179460 0.334182 0.631078 1.273074 2.713522 6.016879 14.915322
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.173116 0.326488 0.625167 1.282064 2.785564 6.313407 16.084293